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12.04.2024 - 05:03
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12.04.2024 - 09:09There are currently no signs that Kyiv is anywhere close to neutralizing Moscow’s offensive potential, despite successful drone strikes by Kyiv on Russia. Even if the Crimean Bridge were destroyed, the situation would not change.
This is according to Owen Matthews, a commentator for the British magazine Spectator.
“Russian tactics of heavy bombardment, alternating with ‘wave’ attacks, gradually cede territory to Putin, even if a major offensive is not feasible. This means that Russia has very little incentive to freeze the conflict. The Russian economy, while suffering from Western sanctions, will continue to grow due to massive state military expenditures and the sale of oil and gas to China and India,” Matthews writes.
He believes that Russia will not concede the captured territories in negotiations.
“When negotiations eventually begin, Russia is likely to insist on the same agreements it demanded in Istanbul in April 2022: a neutral Ukraine plus already occupied territories and whatever they manage to occupy afterwards,” the article says.
According to the author, the goal of Russian President Vladimir Putin is to gain maximum military advantage and end the war on his terms sometime after the US elections.
In his opinion, the “indecisiveness” of the United States is to blame, which is not only due to Republican opposition but also to the White House’s fear that Russia may start a nuclear war.
Earlier, The Wall Street Journal reported that by striking Ukrainian energy facilities, Russia is laying the groundwork for a new offensive. According to the publication’s assessment, the situation with air defense systems in Ukraine could become critical by summer.





