The Korean scenario: Ukraine and Russia may go for negotiations and a ceasefire along the front line – NYT

Ukraine and Russia may enter into peace negotiations and halt the war along the front line in a few months.

This information reported according to The New York Times.

“The Biden administration is increasingly feeling that the next few months could be decisive, as at some point both sides may finally move to a ceasefire through negotiations, similar to the one that ended active hostilities in Korea in 1953,” the article says.

According to White House officials, Russia’s new offensive in the Kharkiv region “changes the trajectory of the war in Ukraine.”

On the one hand, American officials believe that Ukraine will be able to reclaim many of its current territorial losses – once American assistance begins to arrive, “most likely somewhere in July,” and Ukraine sends more young soldiers to the front.

On the other hand, “they are hesitant to make predictions about where the front line may be even a few months from now, or whether Zelensky will be able to start his long-delayed counteroffensive next year.”

Washington’s greatest concern is that Russia is replacing weapons destroyed in the first 27 months of the war and restoring positions: “Russia often starts its wars poorly and ends them well.”

In addition, according to the publication, some of Biden’s aides are concerned that Russia has learned lessons from the conflict about which technologies performed well and which did not, and has achieved technological successes in countering American weapons.

Wit that being said, Biden still opposes Macron’s idea of sending troops.

“This year represents a window of opportunity for Russia. But if the Russian military cannot turn these advantages into combat achievements and gain momentum, there is a high likelihood that this window will begin to close as we enter 2025,” said Michael Kofman, a Russia expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington.

Earlier, The Time wrote that the Russian offensive near Kharkiv “left Ukraine with few good options for defense.”