The Times described four possible scenarios for ending the war in Ukraine

Against the backdrop of statements by U.S. President Donald Trump about his intention to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the British publication The Times has outlined four likely scenarios for how the war might conclude.

The publication notes that Ukraine is currently in an extremely challenging position, although it has not yet lost the will to resist.

“The battlefield situation has never looked so bleak. In 2024, Russian forces captured six times more territory than the previous year,” the article states.

The Times rules out unlikely scenarios, such as the sudden death of Vladimir Putin or a sharp escalation of Ukraine’s counteroffensive, and highlights four realistic options for how the conflict might evolve:

1. Ukraine’s Defeat:

This scenario is possible if Russia continues its war and the United States ceases its support for Kyiv. However, the publication believes that Donald Trump, despite his statements, is unlikely to allow such a catastrophic outcome.

2. A “Bad Peace”:

Without full-fledged U.S. support, Ukraine might be forced to sign a peace agreement with Russia from a weakened position. This would lead to the division of the country and the establishment of a puppet government in Kyiv.

3. Ceasefire:

This option envisions a temporary ceasefire along the front lines, which could evolve into a broader settlement. However, The Times warns that such a scenario would only freeze the conflict, enabling Russia to resume hostilities at a more opportune time in the future.

4. Settlement from a Position of Strength:

According to this scenario, the U.S. would provide Ukraine with all the necessary support to negotiate from a position of strength. This would include intensifying sanctions against Russia and providing financial and military assistance to Ukraine if Russia avoids peace talks. However, even in this case, the full return of all occupied territories is unlikely.

In conclusion, The Times emphasizes that the key factor in ending the war will not be territorial control, but rather which sphere of influence Ukraine ultimately aligns with after the conflict.